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2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.73	-10.3	-0.8	1756	0.0	31.8	-31.8	1.05	0.5	-0.5	-0.3%	16.6%	-16.9%	.92	-0.5%	3.4	0.7	0.95	11.2	54	26	63
Atlanta Braves	3.61	34.9	3.9	1565	5.4	29.4	-24.1	1.03	6.0	-0.7	3.7%	20.2%	-16.6%	1.18	-0.4%	52.5	5.8	0.92	65.5	46	27	55
Baltimore Orioles	3.71	19.2	2.2	1616	5.3	31.0	-25.8	1.07	4.2	0.7	3.9%	21.0%	-17.1%	1.20	0.7%	44.5	5.1	0.90	42.2	56	37	58
Boston Red Sox	3.76	42.2	4.6	1732	4.0	32.3	-28.3	1.07	4.9	-1.1	2.2%	18.9%	-16.6%	1.04	-0.8%	48.6	5.2	0.92	57.9	55	41	48
Chicago Cubs	4.37	14.6	2.3	1812	2.9	34.5	-31.5	1.09	3.0	-0.3	1.9%	22.7%	-20.8%	1.19	-0.2%	18.0	2.7	0.95	25.5	57	28	61
Chicago White Sox	4.87	-19.2	-1.7	1780	-1.1	30.5	-31.5	1.01	-1.3	0.2	-0.4%	6.1%	-6.5%	.34	-0.4%	-13.9	-1.1	0.93	-15.4	57	42	58
Cincinnati Reds	4.33	11.0	1.2	1758	0.0	27.6	-27.5	.93	1.1	-1.1	0.0%	14.4%	-14.4%	.82	-0.6%	15.0	1.6	0.94	16.8	44	37	62
Cleveland Guardians	3.62	24.4	2.8	1748	4.5	33.2	-28.6	1.05	3.7	0.6	3.3%	23.7%	-20.4%	1.24	0.4%	46.8	5.3	0.94	42.5	67	35	66
Colorado Rockies	5.39	-16.7	-1.3	1769	-2.9	27.0	-29.8	.93	-1.7	-1.4	-1.5%	6.9%	-8.4%	.41	-2.9%	-21.9	-1.6	0.96	-11.7	37	28	62
Detroit Tigers	3.80	29.7	3.4	1663	3.4	31.8	-28.3	1.06	5.1	-1.9	2.0%	19.7%	-17.7%	1.10	-1.2%	41.9	4.6	0.92	59.6	59	26	44
Houston Astros	4.76	-29.4	-2.4	1803	0.5	30.0	-29.5	.97	-0.6	1.2	-0.1%	10.7%	-10.8%	.58	0.1%	-5.7	0.2	0.97	-4.4	44	37	66
Kansas City Royals	3.46	33.9	3.9	1722	5.5	31.8	-26.3	1.02	4.5	0.9	3.4%	20.3%	-16.9%	1.09	0.5%	48.9	5.5	0.95	48.5	49	36	54
Los Angeles Angels	5.09	-24.8	-2.4	1782	-2.2	25.3	-27.5	.83	-0.2	-2.5	-1.0%	11.1%	-12.1%	.60	-1.4%	-18.3	-1.5	0.94	-0.4	30	26	81
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.53	43.6	4.6	1785	5.3	29.4	-24.1	.91	6.3	-0.4	3.7%	20.6%	-16.9%	1.06	-0.3%	61.7	6.6	0.90	70.2	45	38	62
Miami Marlins	5.43	-28.2	-2.4	1872	-2.8	29.4	-32.2	.96	-0.2	-2.6	-1.1%	6.8%	-7.9%	.38	-2.7%	-28.3	-2.2	0.97	-7.3	46	35	74
Milwaukee Brewers	4.23	9.3	1.2	1721	3.3	29.6	-26.3	.99	1.7	1.7	2.3%	20.6%	-18.2%	1.14	1.0%	19.1	2.4	0.95	11.6	46	36	61
Minnesota Twins	4.20	-1.6	0.0	1693	1.8	28.2	-26.4	.95	2.5	-0.6	0.9%	16.2%	-15.3%	.91	-0.5%	18.5	2.2	0.92	28.3	51	33	56
New York Mets	4.52	-3.7	0.0	1803	1.9	34.4	-32.5	1.16	1.6	0.1	1.0%	18.0%	-17.0%	1.01	0.0%	13.6	1.8	1.00	20.6	66	29	54
New York Yankees	3.28	46.9	5.0	1769	7.3	34.9	-27.6	1.10	4.5	2.1	5.1%	24.5%	-19.5%	1.29	1.2%	63.7	6.9	0.95	49.0	54	30	51
Oakland Athletics	4.83	-25.8	-2.3	1837	0.5	28.3	-27.8	.88	-1.4	2.1	-0.1%	12.9%	-13.1%	.68	0.7%	-21.9	-1.9	0.98	-19.5	40	37	64
Philadelphia Phillies	3.65	39.2	4.4	1774	6.6	32.4	-25.8	1.01	5.9	0.7	4.2%	20.5%	-16.3%	1.07	0.4%	51.7	5.9	0.93	65.8	56	25	57
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.43	2.2	0.4	1798	2.1	32.6	-30.6	1.05	1.1	0.9	1.0%	18.4%	-17.4%	.99	0.4%	12.7	1.5	0.95	16.8	60	29	53
San Diego Padres	4.43	-6.8	-0.4	1808	0.2	28.1	-28.0	.90	1.7	-1.5	0.0%	16.2%	-16.2%	.87	-1.0%	9.0	1.3	0.92	21.3	42	38	75
Seattle Mariners	3.71	14.0	1.6	1660	2.7	26.4	-23.7	.90	4.7	-1.7	1.4%	15.6%	-14.2%	.89	-1.2%	32.8	3.7	0.89	48.1	36	27	72
San Francisco Giants	4.78	-27.3	-2.1	1817	1.6	28.2	-26.7	.91	0.4	1.3	0.5%	14.0%	-13.4%	.76	0.5%	-9.1	-0.2	0.96	-1.7	37	43	73
St. Louis Cardinals	4.80	-13.1	-1.1	1703	0.1	29.3	-29.2	.99	-0.2	0.3	0.0%	13.8%	-13.8%	.78	0.1%	-5.2	-0.3	0.95	0.5	42	42	54
Tampa Bay Rays	4.74	-22.6	-2.1	1822	2.4	33.2	-30.8	1.06	1.1	1.2	1.1%	17.0%	-15.9%	.90	0.5%	1.8	0.4	0.92	9.3	70	32	46
Texas Rangers	4.52	-10.7	-0.5	1789	2.6	31.4	-28.7	1.01	3.5	-0.8	1.4%	19.7%	-18.3%	1.06	-0.7%	6.2	1.4	0.94	32.7	55	27	53
Toronto Blue Jays	4.72	-22.8	-2.0	1653	0.6	26.6	-26.0	.90	-1.4	2.1	0.3%	13.8%	-13.5%	.78	1.2%	-13.1	-0.9	0.95	-19.1	28	42	73
Washington Nationals	4.19	8.4	1.2	1679	1.2	29.3	-28.1	1.00	1.6	-0.4	0.3%	14.8%	-14.5%	.84	-0.6%	19.7	2.4	0.96	18.7	47	42	66
League Average	4.32	4	1	1750	2	30	-28	.99	2	0	1%	17%	-15%	.90	0%	16	2	0	23	49	34	61
	4.32	110.5	21.1	52489	63.0	907.9	-844.9	.99	62.5	1.0	39.2%	495.5%	-456.3%	.90	6.5%	492.6	63.4	0.94	683.3	1476	1011	1822
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo